Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 85.199783 94.325744 103.670755 113.933371 124.864797 136.138993 148.623773
2025-06-08 68.774354 82.076795 96.364734 112.755855 130.943770 150.414901 172.742744
2025-06-15 61.904113 77.689863 95.185417 115.819837 139.298178 164.997998 195.071289
2025-06-22 55.124452 72.492697 92.302707 116.250577 144.100987 175.169860 212.147447
2025-06-29 49.807221 68.353781 90.060877 116.877034 148.654968 184.677643 228.160240
2025-07-06 43.683836 62.665676 85.477545 114.277103 149.041937 189.065719 238.032465
2025-07-13 41.413645 61.511209 86.164088 117.805682 156.532360 201.629219 257.345967
2025-07-20 38.790006 59.663286 85.794619 119.878797 162.153642 211.920338 273.977490
2025-07-27 36.149063 57.572619 84.936961 121.191607 166.734281 220.901993 289.034652
2025-08-03 34.905070 57.235162 86.235619 125.150710 174.539049 233.764538 308.771378
2025-08-10 32.728537 55.455845 85.524275 126.441367 178.951959 242.480095 323.527725
2025-08-17 29.597600 52.120428 82.566430 124.665324 179.375445 246.220589 332.195079
2025-08-24 26.910118 49.286535 80.197239 123.620724 180.748769 251.216688 342.558787
2025-08-31 24.751588 47.085890 78.582691 123.491331 183.248165 257.605761 354.674593
2025-09-07 23.798027 46.627012 79.337261 126.503913 189.802222 269.080283 373.115380
2025-09-14 22.150559 44.975332 78.307723 127.014396 193.033482 276.345013 386.334799
2025-09-21 20.679875 43.493823 77.434649 127.668121 196.404683 283.764958 399.754582
2025-09-28 18.391602 40.507948 74.210659 124.909376 195.113901 285.135011 405.498134
2025-10-05 17.994538 40.642823 75.605602 128.656047 202.578746 297.807554 425.597723
2025-10-12 17.229977 40.094125 75.931029 130.856728 207.947884 307.787710 442.323900
2025-10-19 16.319272 39.224742 75.718123 132.249849 212.201780 316.324514 457.241566
2025-10-26 16.122435 39.607411 77.435307 136.449533 220.331233 329.970061 478.772028
2025-11-02 15.293814 38.787629 77.232397 137.818077 224.548248 338.495260 493.760934